市场平静下暗流涌动 黄金震荡聚焦非农与关税裁决

Market Overview - The global market is showing strong performance as of the beginning of 2026, but a key test is approaching with the release of the U.S. December non-farm payroll report and a potential Supreme Court ruling on Trump's tariff policies [1][2] Non-Farm Payroll Report - The consensus expectation for the December non-farm payroll is an addition of approximately 60,000 jobs, down from a previous value of 64,000, with the unemployment rate expected to decrease from 4.6% to 4.5% [2] - The report is seen as a critical indicator, with potential risks regardless of whether the data is strong or weak, as the S&P 500's forward P/E ratio has exceeded 22, nearing the market peak level seen in January 2022 [2] Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices were influenced by calls from Federal Reserve Governor Milan for a 150 basis point rate cut this year, leading to a rise of over $20 on Thursday, with a 0.48% increase [3] - The current gold price is $1,001.46 per gram, down $3.58 from the previous trading day, with a daily high of $1,006.19 and a low of $999.27 [1] - The market is awaiting the non-farm payroll data, which could significantly impact gold prices depending on the legality of Trump's tariffs, with potential bullish or bearish outcomes [3]