【环球财经】联合国报告预测2026年世界经济将增长2.7%

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the global economy is projected to grow by 2.7% in 2026, slightly lower than the 2.8% forecast for 2025 [1] - Despite a significant increase in tariffs by the United States in 2025, global economic performance showed unexpected resilience supported by robust consumer spending and a decline in inflation [1] - The report highlights persistent vulnerabilities, including low investment and limited fiscal space, which are dragging down economic activity and increasing the risk of prolonged low growth globally [1] Group 2 - The report indicates that the initial easing of trade tensions has helped mitigate the impact on international trade, but higher tariff levels combined with rising macroeconomic uncertainty are expected to have more pronounced effects in 2026 [1] - Global trade growth is forecasted to decline to 2.2% in 2026, down from 3.8% in 2025 [1] - The report predicts that the U.S. economy will maintain a growth rate of around 2.0% in 2026, while the EU's growth will slow to 1.3% due to increased tariffs and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties affecting exports [1] Group 3 - Japan's economic growth is expected to be approximately 0.9% in 2026, influenced by a weakening external environment [1] - Economic growth projections for various regions in 2026 include East Asia at 4.4%, South Asia at 5.6%, Africa at 4.0%, Latin America and the Caribbean at 2.3%, and the Commonwealth of Independent States and Georgia at 2.1% [1] - The report calls for countries to strengthen global coordination and collective action in response to heightened geopolitical tensions, trade pattern adjustments, price pressures, and climate impacts [2]