法国11月家庭消费意外环比下降0.3% 能源支出成主要拖累

Core Insights - In November 2025, French household consumption unexpectedly declined by 0.3% month-on-month, contrary to market expectations of a 0.2% increase, marking the first monthly negative growth since July 2025 [1] Consumption Breakdown - The decline in consumption was primarily driven by a significant reduction in energy expenditures, which fell by 2.0% month-on-month due to decreased natural gas and electricity usage, as well as a drop in oil product purchases [1] - Food expenditures also saw a 0.2% month-on-month decrease, with some agricultural product consumption rising but being offset by a sharp decline in processed food products [1] - In contrast, spending on manufactured goods showed relative strength, increasing by 0.4% month-on-month, supported by higher expenditures on durable goods and a rebound in textiles and clothing [1] Yearly Perspective - Year-on-year, household consumption remained flat, indicating a stagnation in overall consumption momentum for the year [1] - Analysts noted that the cautious spending behavior of French households is influenced by ongoing inflationary pressures and limited real wage growth, particularly affecting non-essential categories in energy and food [1] Economic Implications - The unexpected decline in consumption data may pose downside risks to France's economic growth in the fourth quarter and has prompted a reassessment of the resilience of domestic demand [1]