Feng Huang Wang·2026-01-09 09:58Core Viewpoint - The pig price in December 2025 reached a new low, with the industry experiencing a prolonged period of price inversion, indicating ongoing challenges in the market [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The December 2025 pig sales data revealed that the expected peak season did not materialize, with average sales prices dropping over 25% year-on-year, ranging between 11 CNY/kg and 12 CNY/kg [2]. - Major companies like Muyuan Foods reported a 14.75% decrease in sales volume to 6.98 million pigs in December, resulting in a 36.06% decline in sales revenue to 9.667 billion CNY [2]. - Some companies, such as Zhengbang Technology, saw significant increases in sales volume, with a 73.26% rise to 1.0286 million pigs and a 25.75% increase in revenue to 914 million CNY [2]. Group 2: Price Trends - The pig price exhibited a fluctuating trend in December, with a brief recovery mid-month due to seasonal demand, but ultimately ended with a slight month-on-month decline [3]. - The average price of white strip pork decreased by 26.21% year-on-year, despite a 15.22% increase in daily slaughter volume, indicating persistent downward pressure on prices [3]. Group 3: Capacity Reduction - The industry is gradually initiating capacity reduction, but the pace remains slow, with many companies still maintaining high levels of breeding sows [4]. - As of December 2025, Muyuan Foods reported a breeding sow inventory of 3.232 million heads, reflecting a decrease, but overall industry capacity reduction is not yet substantial [4]. - Analysts suggest that the current high levels of breeding sow inventory will continue to exert pressure on supply, limiting price recovery potential [4]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Industry experts predict that the effects of capacity reduction will become evident in the second half of 2026, with the first half expected to remain in a downward price cycle [5].