Group 1: Precious Metals Market - The current trend in the precious metals market reflects a deep tug-of-war between bullish and bearish forces, with spot gold hovering around $4,460 after a dip to $4,423 earlier in the week, marking a decline of over 1.7% [1][3] - This pullback is viewed as a self-correction following high-level market fluctuations, driven by profit-taking, rising geopolitical tensions, and continued accumulation of gold by major global institutions [1][3] - The macroeconomic environment, particularly the U.S. intervention in Venezuela, has become a significant catalyst for risk-averse sentiment, further supporting gold prices amid concerns over the economic outlook due to weak domestic employment data [4] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - The 4-hour chart for gold shows a complex oscillation pattern, with the 20-period simple moving average (SMA) slowing down, while the 100-period and 200-period SMAs provide strong structural support at $4,370 and $4,267, respectively [4] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has retreated to around 55, indicating a cautious stance among buyers as the market awaits key fundamental indicators such as the upcoming non-farm payroll data [4] Group 3: Silver Market Insights - The silver market has also garnered attention, with prices rising to approximately $78.50, although the RSI indicates overbought conditions [2][4] - If silver fails to stabilize above the $80.00 mark, it may face downward pressure towards $77.88 or even $75.00, while breaking through the resistance at $81.44 could open up upward potential towards $82.88 and historical highs of $85.87 [2][4] Group 4: Digital Assets Overview - The cryptocurrency market has started relatively smoothly but faces challenges from regulatory scrutiny and volatility in traditional stock markets, particularly as the U.S. cryptocurrency market structure bill enters a critical review phase [5] - The transparency of policies will significantly influence the speed of capital inflow into the cryptocurrency market, despite a decreasing correlation between the S&P 500 index and digital assets [5] Group 5: Investment Strategy Outlook - The investment strategy for 2026 should focus on balancing defense and growth, with a recommendation to closely monitor the key technical support level of $4,370 for gold, as the market seeks a solid foundation for the next phase of breakout [5]
金丰来:避险未冷 多空角力
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-09 11:20