经济学家认为美国劳动力市场最糟糕阶段或已过去

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that while the U.S. labor market is experiencing a slowdown in hiring and an increase in layoffs, the most severe phase of economic slowdown may have passed, pending confirmation from the upcoming December employment report [1][2] - A senior economist from Bank of America noted that although the labor market has not fully recovered, data suggests that the worst phase may be over, but the impact of the longest government shutdown in U.S. history has significantly affected the employment data for October and November [1] - Another economist focused on financial markets believes that the December employment report will provide a clearer understanding of the economic situation and is expected to reflect actual conditions better than November's data, as the Bureau of Labor Statistics' data collection processes return to normal [1] Group 2 - Analysis indicates that the U.S. labor market is undergoing a mild cooling process amid sustained high interest rates and rising corporate cost pressures [2] - If the December data shows stable unemployment, slowing wage growth, but no significant decline in employment numbers, it could support the "soft landing" narrative and influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path in the first half of 2026 [2] - The December employment report is widely viewed as a key indicator for assessing the resilience of the U.S. economy, and its release may reshape investor expectations regarding growth, inflation, and interest rates [2]