绿光气候研究院院长舒玉莹：“双碳”已被提升至统领经济社会发展全局的高度 ｜ 对话能源大咖

Core Viewpoint - China's green transition has entered a new phase, emphasizing the dual control of carbon emissions and energy consumption as a core strategic priority for economic development by 2026 [2][9]. Group 1: Impact on Traditional Industries - Traditional high-energy-consuming industries such as steel, cement, and chemicals will face unprecedented carbon constraints, requiring new projects to meet both energy efficiency and carbon emission evaluations [3][11]. - Existing capacities must accelerate low-carbon technology upgrades, shifting focus from scale expansion to quality improvement [3][11]. Group 2: Opportunities in Emerging Industries - Emerging sectors like renewable energy and carbon management services are expected to experience explosive growth, with increasing demand for carbon accounting, carbon footprint certification, and CCUS services [4][11]. - Digital technologies that integrate energy and carbon management will have significant growth potential, contributing to the establishment of a competitive green industrial chain [4][11]. Group 3: Carbon Emission Accounting System - China's carbon emission accounting system is in a critical development phase, extending beyond major emitters to include local government planning and industry standards [5][11]. - The national greenhouse gas emission factor database has been launched, covering 24 key industries, and the national carbon market now includes eight industries, accounting for over 60% of total carbon emissions [5][11]. Group 4: Carbon Market Dynamics - The deepening linkage between the dual control of carbon emissions and the national carbon market will make carbon a measurable, tradable, and priced production factor, compelling companies to adopt carbon asset management strategies [6][11]. Group 5: Learning from International Experiences - The EU's carbon trading system and the UK's carbon budget system provide valuable lessons for China, emphasizing the importance of clear emission reduction targets and third-party supervision [7][8][11]. Group 6: Requirements for Traditional and Renewable Energy - The comprehensive green transition requires traditional energy to evolve from being the main energy source to providing backup and regulatory services, while renewable energy will see significant market expansion [11][12]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" indicates that most new electricity demand will be met by clean energy, leading to explosive growth in the renewable energy sector [11][12].