特朗普威胁“吞并”格陵兰岛，六种棋局推演｜全球洞见

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the U.S. interest in Greenland, highlighting the low likelihood of military annexation and presenting various potential diplomatic strategies for U.S. involvement in Greenland's governance and resources [2][3][4]. Group 1: U.S. Motivations for Interest in Greenland - The U.S. seeks control over Greenland primarily for national security and military reasons, given its strategic location between North America and Europe [4]. - Greenland is rich in mineral resources, including rare earth elements and potential oil and gas reserves, which are crucial for U.S. high-tech industries [5]. - Climate change is making Arctic resource extraction more feasible, and Greenland's location is pivotal for new shipping routes that could significantly reduce transportation times between Europe and North America [5]. Group 2: Potential Diplomatic Strategies - The article outlines six potential strategies for U.S. involvement in Greenland, with the "military annexation model" being the least likely due to international backlash [3][8]. - The "Palau and Micronesia-style Compact of Free Association" allows a small nation to retain its sovereignty while granting certain powers to a larger nation, which could be a viable option for Greenland [11]. - The "Panama Canal lease model" suggests that the U.S. could negotiate a lease for administrative control over Greenland while Denmark retains nominal sovereignty [12]. - The possibility of pressuring Denmark to expand U.S. privileges in Greenland, such as military bases and resource development, is also considered a feasible approach [12][13].