Zheng Quan Shi Bao·2026-01-09 17:34Core Viewpoint - China Shipbuilding Defense (中船防务) is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 940 million to 1.12 billion yuan for the year 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 149.61% to 196.88% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be between 850 million and 1.02 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 153.27% to 203.93% [1] - The growth in performance is driven by two main factors: an increase in ship product revenue and production efficiency, along with significant improvements in the operating performance of joint ventures and increased dividend income from affiliated companies [1] Group 2: Industry Context - As a leading enterprise in the domestic shipbuilding and military production sectors, the company's performance aligns closely with the industry's favorable conditions [1] - The global shipbuilding industry has entered a prosperous cycle, with strong demand and tight supply conditions. Clarkson Research indicates that the total value of new shipbuilding contracts in 2025 is expected to exceed 150 billion USD, despite a slight decrease in order volume compared to 2024, remaining 17% above the average level of the past decade [1] - Many top Chinese shipyards have their docks booked until the end of 2029, with some extending into 2030, indicating a robust external environment for business growth [1] Group 3: Order Backlog and Future Prospects - The company's core business includes defense equipment, marine products, and emerging sectors, with marine products being the primary source of revenue [2] - As of the end of 2024, the company has a backlog of orders valued at approximately 61.6 billion yuan, with shipbuilding orders accounting for 95.3%, providing solid support for production and delivery in 2025 [2] - In the first quarter of 2025, the company secured new orders worth 12.502 billion yuan, including contracts for high-end ship types, achieving 71.64% of the annual plan in just one quarter, with an annualized completion rate of 286.6% [2] - The subsidiary Huangpu Wenchong has an order reserve of about 54 billion yuan, with production plans extending to 2028, laying a foundation for future performance [2]