Zheng Quan Shi Bao·2026-01-09 17:41Core Viewpoint - China Shipbuilding Defense (中船防务) expects a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projecting a range of 940 million to 1.12 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 149.61% to 196.88% [2] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company anticipates a non-recurring net profit of 850 million to 1.02 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 153.27% to 203.93% [2] - The growth is driven by improved revenue and production efficiency in shipbuilding products, as well as significant gains from joint ventures and increased dividends from affiliated companies [2] Group 2: Industry Context - The global shipbuilding industry is currently in a favorable cycle, with demand increasing and supply facing capacity constraints [2] - Clarkson Research indicates that the total value of new shipbuilding contracts in 2025 is expected to exceed 150 billion USD, despite a slight decrease in order volume compared to 2024, remaining 17% above the average of the past decade [2] - Many leading Chinese shipyards have their docks booked until the end of 2029, with some extending to 2030, indicating a robust market environment for the company [2] Group 3: Business Segments and Orders - The core business of China Shipbuilding Defense includes defense equipment, marine engineering products, and emerging businesses, with marine engineering products being the primary revenue source [3] - As of the end of 2024, the company holds a backlog of contracts valued at approximately 61.6 billion yuan, with shipbuilding orders accounting for 95.3% of this total [3] - In the first quarter of 2025, the company secured new orders worth 12.502 billion yuan, achieving 71.64% of its annual target in just one quarter, with an annualized completion rate of 286.6% [3] - The subsidiary Huangpu Wenchong has an order reserve of about 54 billion yuan, with production plans extending to 2028, laying a solid foundation for future performance [3]