2025年国际食品价格基准指数同比上涨4.3%

Core Insights - The Food Price Index by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) is projected to average 127.2 points in 2025, representing a 4.3% increase from the average level in 2024, driven by rising prices of vegetable oils and dairy products offsetting declines in grains and sugar prices [1] Price Index Summary - The average price index for vegetable oils is expected to rise by 17.1% in 2025 compared to 2024, reaching a three-year high due to tight global supply [1] - The average price index for dairy products is projected to increase by 13.2% in 2025, supported by strong global import demand and limited export supply at the beginning of the year [1] - The average price index for meat is anticipated to rise by 5.1% in 2025, driven by robust global import demand and increased market uncertainty due to animal disease outbreaks and geopolitical tensions [1] - Conversely, the average price index for grains is expected to decline by 4.9% in 2025, marking the third consecutive year of decrease and reaching the lowest average since 2020 [1] - The average price index for rice is projected to drop by 35.2% in 2025 compared to 2024, reflecting ample export supply, intense competition, and reduced purchasing by some Asian importing countries [1] - The average price index for sugar is expected to decrease by 17.0% in 2025, reaching the lowest level since 2020 due to sufficient export supply [1]