林民旺：自贸协定检验印欧关系“热度”

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolving relationship between India and Europe, highlighting a significant shift in diplomatic engagement and trade negotiations, particularly in light of India's decision not to join the RCEP and the geopolitical dynamics involving the US and China. Group 1: Diplomatic Engagement - European leaders are increasingly visiting India, indicating a warming relationship, with notable visits scheduled for early 2026 [1] - The shift in India's diplomatic focus towards Europe is marked by increased visits from European leaders during Modi's second term [1][2] - The EU has shown a long-standing interest in strengthening ties with India, as evidenced by strategic documents and the 2020 roadmap for partnership [2] Group 2: Trade Negotiations - India is seeking to restart free trade agreement negotiations with the EU to mitigate the impact of not joining RCEP [2] - The US has indirectly influenced India-EU relations by discouraging India from pursuing a free trade agreement with the US, thus pushing India closer to Europe [3] - Despite ongoing negotiations, significant differences remain between India and the EU regarding tariff reductions and market access, complicating the path to a comprehensive trade agreement [4][5] Group 3: Geopolitical Context - The geopolitical landscape, including US-China relations, has prompted India and the EU to strengthen their economic ties as a counterbalance [3][4] - The rise of protectionism poses challenges to the completion of trade agreements, as both parties have differing expectations and strategic priorities [5] - India's reluctance to make significant concessions in trade negotiations reflects its focus on national economic interests over geopolitical considerations [5]