周汉民：中国要在不确定的世界中持续提供确定性

Core Viewpoint - The 2026 China Chief Economist Forum emphasizes the theme "Chess in the Middle Game: Building a Strong Nation," highlighting the need for China to provide certainty in an increasingly unstable global economic environment [1][5]. Group 1: Economic Stability - The current global economy is characterized by a normalization of instability, which is a structural state rather than short-term fluctuations [3][7]. - China's response logic focuses on how to provide certainty in an uncertain world [3][7]. Group 2: Four Levels of Certainty Supply - Macroeconomic Certainty: China aims to provide growth certainty by expanding domestic demand, optimizing investment structure, and nurturing new productive forces to maintain a medium-to-high-speed, sustainable, and predictable growth path. China's stable growth is viewed as an important public good for the world [8]. - Industrial Certainty: The core advantage of China's future development lies not only in cost but also in a complete industrial system, continuous technological iteration, and scalable application scenarios. This foundation enables China to offer stable and replicable supply capabilities in sectors like new energy, high-end manufacturing, and digital economy [8]. - Institutional Certainty: China promotes high-level institutional openness, regional and multilateral cooperation, and aims to reduce institutional friction costs, particularly opposing protectionism disguised as security measures [8]. - Financial Certainty: By accelerating the internationalization of the Renminbi, enhancing regional financial cooperation, and coordinating financial regulation, China seeks to provide diverse risk mitigation options for global southern countries [8]. Group 3: Global Economic Responsibility - The world economy in 2026 lacks not capital or technology, but stability, predictability, and reliable institutional supply. China's responsibility is to not only change global uncertainty but also to continuously provide certainty, continuity, and cooperation in an uncertain world. This is essential for China's high-quality development and for helping the global economic system overcome structural challenges [4][8].