连平：房地产融资需求未来有望反弹，但不大可能回到过去状态

Group 1 - The 2026 China Chief Economist Forum Annual Meeting will be held on January 10-11 in Shanghai, with the theme "Chess in the Middle Game: Building a Strong Nation" [1] - Lian Ping, Chairman of the China Chief Economist Forum and Dean of Guangkai Chief Industry Research Institute, emphasized that future proactive fiscal policies will continue and become more clearly defined [3][5] - China's overall fiscal situation is very good, with the capacity to maintain a strong fiscal expansion, and there will be significant financing demand in the market without noticeable contraction [3][5] Group 2 - Traditional sectors such as real estate and infrastructure are expected to remain stable and improve in the years following 2026, with overall traditional financing demand improving compared to 2025 [3][5] - Due to changes in economic structure, it is unlikely that there will be a return to the massive financing demand previously seen in the real estate sector, although there may be a slight rebound in financing demand from households and real estate companies [3][5] - The Chinese stock market is expected to stabilize in 2025 and continue this trend into 2026 and beyond, with a favorable operating environment for the capital and stock markets anticipated [3][5]