当数字人民币开始计息

Core Viewpoint - The digital renminbi (e-CNY) will start accruing interest on wallet balances as of January 1, 2026, marking a significant shift from a cash-like payment tool to a deposit currency model, which aligns with economic growth and financial intermediation mechanisms [1][2][3] Digital Renminbi Transition - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) will implement a new measurement framework and management system for digital renminbi on January 1, 2026, transitioning from a cash-type model to a deposit currency model [2] - Major state-owned banks will begin to pay interest on digital renminbi wallet balances at the same rate as regular savings accounts [2] Systemic Upgrade - The ability to earn interest signifies a systemic upgrade, transforming digital renminbi from a mere tool to a comprehensive monetary system, responding to global trends in digital currencies [3][4] - The PBOC aims to redefine how money exists, circulates, and is governed, moving towards a more sustainable and operationally integrated digital currency [3][4] Cross-Border Payment Enhancements - The PBOC is focusing on enhancing cross-border payment systems, including expanding the use of the renminbi in international transactions and improving the efficiency of cross-border financial flows [5][6] - The digital renminbi is expected to become a core engine for cross-border payments, facilitating smoother transactions and reducing costs for businesses [5][6] Infrastructure Development - Recent policies indicate a strategic alignment between digital renminbi development and cross-border payment infrastructure, aiming for a cohesive system that supports both domestic and international financial activities [7][8] - The revised rules for the renminbi cross-border payment system will enhance governance and scalability, ensuring a robust framework for financial transactions [8][9] Future Implications - The transition to a deposit currency model is anticipated to significantly increase liquidity within the banking system and encourage more financial services around digital renminbi [13][14] - The internationalization of the renminbi will depend on clear rules, risk management, and compliance, which are essential for building trust among global financial institutions [14][15] Conclusion - The digital renminbi's evolution into a deposit currency represents a fundamental shift in China's monetary policy, with implications for both domestic financial stability and international currency dynamics [1][3][14]