The Motley Fool·2026-01-10 16:30Core Viewpoint - Peter Thiel's hedge fund, Thiel Macro, has completely exited its position in Nvidia, selling 537,742 shares during Q3, and has shifted its investment to Apple, indicating a strategic pivot in response to market conditions [3][8]. Nvidia - Nvidia's market capitalization has surged from $345 billion at the launch of ChatGPT to $4.6 trillion, making it the most valuable company globally [4]. - Despite record revenue and earnings, Nvidia's stock has only risen by 1.7% since its fiscal Q3 earnings report on November 19, 2025, suggesting a potential slowdown in momentum [6]. - Concerns are growing among investors regarding competition from other GPU manufacturers like Advanced Micro Devices and ASIC designers such as Broadcom, which may impact Nvidia's future growth [7]. - Nvidia is perceived as a high-beta stock, indicating increased volatility, despite consistently exceeding Wall Street expectations [12]. Apple - Apple has a significant installed base of over 2 billion active devices, positioning it to benefit from the integration of generative AI across its hardware and services [10]. - Although Apple's growth has been sluggish and its AI roadmap unclear, it remains a stable investment opportunity with robust cash flow generation [13]. - Apple's forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is around 32, higher than Nvidia's 24, but the latter's faster revenue growth does not necessarily make it a better investment at this time [14]. - Thiel's shift to Apple suggests a belief in a potential correction for growth stocks, favoring more stable investments with resilient business models [15].