Huan Qiu Wang·2026-01-11 02:40Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery recycling industry is undergoing a value reassessment driven by high energy metal prices, increased demand for energy storage, and supportive policies, leading to the formation of a green circular market exceeding 100 billion yuan by 2025 [1][6]. Industry Overview - The prices of key metals such as lithium, cobalt, and nickel are expected to remain high due to global mineral development cycles and a second surge in downstream energy storage demand [1]. - The industry is transitioning from extensive development to a more refined, standardized, and globalized phase, with a market size projected to exceed 100 billion yuan [1]. Company Performance - Companies like Greeenme and Tianqi have reported significant improvements in profitability due to increased retirement volumes and rising metal prices, with Greeenme's battery recycling volume reaching 36,000 tons, a 59% year-on-year increase [2]. - Tianqi's lithium battery recycling segment has turned profitable, aided by the lifting of black powder import restrictions and rising metal prices [2]. Strategic Initiatives - Leading companies are adopting a "capacity + capital" dual-drive strategy to capture market opportunities, with Greeenme planning to invest 400 million yuan to acquire shares in Henan Recycling Group and pursue a Hong Kong listing [4]. - Tianqi has established a processing capacity of 100,000 tons of used lithium batteries, with another 100,000 tons under construction, indicating a strong commitment to expanding its recycling capabilities [4]. Technological Advancements - Greeenme has achieved a lithium recovery rate exceeding 96.5% through its nine global recycling bases and has established partnerships with over 1,000 automotive and battery manufacturers [5]. - The industry is focusing on technological iteration and collaboration across the supply chain, with non-compliant small operations exiting the market, leading to a concentration of market share among companies with technological and environmental advantages [5]. Market Outlook - The lithium battery recycling industry is expected to experience accelerated growth over the next 3 to 5 years, with an annual growth rate projected to exceed 50%, potentially surpassing 100 billion yuan by 2030 [5][6]. - The industry's growth is not only driven by short-term fluctuations in energy metal prices but also by the necessity of closing the loop in the new energy industry chain, ensuring resource security and alleviating mining pressures [6].