首席经济学家看开年新局 政策稳、产业兴、资本活 中国资产迈入系统性重估周期

Core Viewpoint - The 2026 China Chief Economist Forum highlighted a significant shift in the perception of Chinese assets, moving from "overseas optional" to "globally unavoidable," driven by policy certainty, industrial innovation, and unprecedented support from capital markets [2] Policy Determination - The high degree of policy certainty is seen as a core support for Chinese assets, with foreign investors shifting their views from "China is not investable" to "Chinese assets are unavoidable" as they recognize the successful achievement of strategic goals set in the 14th Five-Year Plan [2] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is characterized by clearer future directions and specific deployments across traditional and emerging industries, indicating a strong internal momentum for the modern industrial system [3] Capital Market Development - The development of capital markets is crucial, with unprecedented policy support for the stock market and a favorable liquidity environment expected to lead to a stable and healthy market operation in 2026 and beyond [4] Industrial Innovation - A robust traditional manufacturing sector is essential for nurturing emerging industries, with the ability to transform technology potential into commercial value being a key advantage for China [5] - The AI sector exemplifies this, where a complete industrial ecosystem is necessary to create a positive economic cycle from substantial initial capital investments [5] Investment Opportunities - Investment focus areas include development, people, and security, emphasizing the need for new productive forces and the importance of investing in human capital and safety across various sectors [7] - Specific investment opportunities identified include mergers and acquisitions, overseas expansion of Chinese companies, technology innovation, and real estate investment trusts (REITs) [7] Market Focus - The stock market remains a focal point, with a core strategy centered around technology sectors, which are expected to continue their structural trends in the first half of the year [8]