Analysts Spot Bitcoin Price Rebound Window — Could Trump’s 10% Credit Cap Trigger It?

Core Insights - Bitcoin is currently trading at approximately $90,580, which is below the estimated miner production costs of around $101,000 per BTC, indicating a potential short-term rebound as macroeconomic policies evolve in the US [2][3]. Group 1: Bitcoin Price Dynamics - On-chain analyst Willy Woo suggests that investor flows into Bitcoin have been strengthening since December 24, 2025, despite a cautious outlook for 2026 due to declining liquidity [1]. - Historical trends indicate that trading below miner costs does not typically lead to panic selling; instead, miners tend to slow production, creating a temporary floor for prices [3]. Group 2: Macroeconomic Influences - President Donald Trump's proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10% could ease financial burdens for many Americans, potentially driving consumers towards Bitcoin and decentralized finance (DeFi) as traditional credit access becomes restricted for those with lower credit scores [5]. - Analysts warn that this shift may lead to increased adoption of alternative financial systems, including Bitcoin, as consumers seek options outside traditional banking [5]. Group 3: Market Behavior and Investor Sentiment - The actual spot inflows into Bitcoin, rather than market narratives or correlations with equity markets, are identified as key drivers for Bitcoin's price recovery [4]. - The potential macro catalyst of Trump's credit cap may intersect with the technical and flow-driven aspects of Bitcoin's market dynamics, suggesting a cautiously bullish sentiment in the near term [4].