联合国报告预测 2026年世界经济将增长2.7%

Group 1 - The United Nations predicts global economic growth of 2.7% in 2026, slightly lower than the 2.8% forecast for 2025 [1] - Despite significant tariff increases in the U.S., global economic resilience is supported by robust consumer spending and declining inflation [1] - Persistent investment weakness and limited fiscal space are dragging down economic activity, increasing the risk of prolonged low growth globally [1] Group 2 - Global trade growth is expected to decline to 2.2% in 2026, down from 3.8% in 2025, due to higher tariffs and rising macroeconomic uncertainty [1] - The U.S. economy is projected to grow at around 2.0% in 2026, influenced by a weakening labor market and export pressures from tariff increases and geopolitical uncertainties [1] - The EU's economic growth is forecasted to slow to 1.3% in 2026, while Japan's growth is expected to be approximately 0.9% due to a deteriorating external environment [1] Group 3 - Economic growth predictions for various regions in 2026 include East Asia at 4.4%, South Asia at 5.6%, Africa at 4.0%, Latin America and the Caribbean at 2.3%, and the Commonwealth of Independent States and Georgia at 2.1% [2] - The report calls for enhanced global coordination and collective action among countries to address trade adjustments, price pressures, and climate impacts amid escalating geopolitical tensions [2]