Group 1 - Lithium stocks experienced an upward trend, with Tianqi Lithium (09696) rising by 4.46% to HKD 55 and Ganfeng Lithium (01772) increasing by 3.45% to HKD 58.45 [1] - On January 12, the main contract for lithium carbonate futures hit the upper limit, increasing by 9% to CNY 156,060 per ton [1] - The Ministry of Finance and the State Administration of Taxation announced a reduction in the export tax rebate rate for battery products from 9% to 6% starting April 1, 2026, and the complete cancellation of the rebate from January 1, 2027 [1] Group 2 - Analysts from CITIC Futures suggest that battery companies may increase orders before April due to the upcoming changes in export tax policy, which could positively impact short-term demand for lithium carbonate [1] - The anticipated "rush to export" before the tax rebate cancellation may sustain demand for lithium carbonate until 2027, providing short-term price support [1] - However, the cancellation of the export tax rebate is expected to reduce profits across various sectors, potentially leading to increased costs that could suppress long-term demand [1]