Zheng Quan Shi Bao·2026-01-12 03:03Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery recycling industry is transitioning from a rough development phase to a more refined, standardized, and globalized stage, driven by rising prices of lithium and cobalt, supportive policies, and increasing demand for energy metals [1][2][6]. Industry Overview - Lithium battery recycling is likened to the development of "urban mines," converting waste batteries into valuable, recyclable resources [1]. - The industry is witnessing a transformation, with a market size exceeding 100 billion yuan, reshaping the resource supply landscape in the new energy sector [1][7]. Profitability and Market Dynamics - The profitability of lithium battery recycling businesses has improved significantly, with a reported 59% year-on-year increase in battery dismantling volume, reaching 36,000 tons in the first three quarters of 2025 [2]. - The rise in prices of lithium, cobalt, and nickel has enhanced cash flow for recycling companies, shifting the profit model from reliance on subsidies to the intrinsic value of recycled materials [2][3]. Policy and Regulatory Environment - The Chinese government has relaxed import policies for recycled materials, allowing certain types of black powder to be imported, which addresses previous challenges in the industry [3]. - This regulatory change is expected to secure domestic strategic resource supply and integrate China's battery recycling industry into global resource allocation [2][3]. Capacity Expansion and Capital Operations - Leading companies are adopting a dual strategy of capacity expansion and capital operations to capture market opportunities, with significant investments in new facilities and technology partnerships [4][5]. - Companies like Grinmei and Tianqi are actively pursuing acquisitions and financing to enhance their operational capabilities and market presence [4][5]. Technological Advancements and Lifecycle Integration - The industry is evolving from merely end-of-life disposal to playing a crucial role in the entire battery lifecycle, with companies developing comprehensive value chains from recycling to remanufacturing [6]. - Grinmei has achieved a lithium recovery rate exceeding 96.5% through innovative technologies, establishing partnerships with over 1,000 automotive and battery manufacturers [6]. Future Outlook - The lithium battery recycling market is projected to grow at an annual rate exceeding 50% over the next 3 to 5 years, with the domestic market expected to surpass 100 billion yuan by 2030 [7]. - The industry is moving towards a more regulated and competitive environment, with non-compliant players gradually exiting the market, signaling a positive trend for sustainable practices [7].