一周流动性观察 | 税期未至资金面依然平稳宽松 等待央行态度进一步明朗
Xin Hua Cai Jing·2026-01-12 06:17

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 861 billion yuan at an interest rate of 1.40%, maintaining the previous level, resulting in a net injection of 361 billion yuan after 500 billion yuan of reverse repos matured [1] - In the previous week, the PBOC had a net withdrawal of 16,550 billion yuan through reverse repos, indicating a significant tightening of liquidity, while the government debt repayment pressure increased [1] - The overall liquidity environment remains loose, supported by prior fiscal spending and a decrease in funding demand post-year-end, with overnight funding rates stabilizing around 1.33% [1] Group 2 - The upcoming week (January 12-16) will see a decrease in the 7-day reverse repo maturity scale to 1,387 billion yuan, with government debt net repayment dropping to -531 billion yuan, suggesting limited external disturbances to the funding environment [2] - Analysts expect the funding environment to remain stable and loose, with overnight funding rates fluctuating around 1.35% and 7-day rates around 1.50% [2] - A significant 6-month reverse repo of 6,000 billion yuan is set to mature, and the PBOC is likely to maintain incremental renewals to alleviate funding pressure as the tax period approaches [2] Group 3 - The PBOC's recent work meeting emphasized the importance of maintaining a moderately loose monetary policy to promote high-quality economic development and reasonable price recovery [3] - The meeting highlighted the flexible and efficient use of various monetary policy tools, including interest rate cuts, to ensure ample liquidity and support balanced credit growth [3][4] - Changes in policy goals were noted, shifting from "stable with a decrease" in financing costs to "operating at a low level," indicating a stronger commitment to supporting economic stability and price recovery [3][4]