春季躁动进行时，AI应用迎来高潮——软件ETF大涨点评

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced a rise of 0.75%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.31% and the ChiNext Index rose by 1.17%. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.31 trillion yuan, an increase of 245.5 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1]. Upward Factors Analysis - The GEO (Generative Engine Optimization) concept is gaining traction, with Gartner predicting that by 2026, approximately 25% of global traditional search engine traffic will shift to AI tools. The global GEO market is expected to reach $11.2 billion by 2025 and could reach $100 billion by 2030, indicating a significant growth opportunity for advertising agencies [3]. - In the AI healthcare sector, OpenAI announced the integration of a health dialogue feature, ChatGPT Health, which allows users to engage in health-related conversations in a separate environment. This feature connects with various health applications, enhancing real-time health services [4]. - There are rumors that a domestic large model manufacturer may release a new model before the Spring Festival, although the authenticity is uncertain. The domestic AI algorithm and talent pool is strong, and the supply of computing power is expected to improve [4]. Market Outlook - AI is anticipated to remain a continuous technological focus, with a necessary shift from hardware to software. The performance gap between North American and domestic AI models is expected to narrow as domestic computing power supply constraints ease [5]. - As of January 10, 2026, the software ETF's P/E ratio (PETTM) stands at 260.07, placing it in the 94.84 percentile since its inception. However, the absolute growth rates for the software ETF in 2024 and 2025 are projected to be only 1.82% and 14.43%, respectively. The software industry is expected to recover due to macroeconomic improvements and AI model advancements, presenting potential investment value in software ETFs [5].