乘联分会崔东树：2025年1-12月乘用车均价为17万元

Core Viewpoint - The average price of passenger cars in China is expected to decrease to 170,000 yuan in 2025, down by 14,000 yuan from 2024, indicating a significant shift in the automotive market dynamics [1]. Group 1: Retail Sales and Average Prices - The average price of traditional fuel vehicles increased from 150,000 yuan in 2019 to 183,000 yuan in 2023, but is projected to decline to 182,000 yuan in 2025 [2]. - The average price of new energy vehicles (NEVs) is also on a downward trend, expected to drop from 184,000 yuan in 2023 to 161,000 yuan in 2025, with December 2025 projected at 179,000 yuan [3]. - Overall average prices for vehicles are forecasted to decrease from 184,000 yuan in 2024 to 170,000 yuan in 2025, reflecting a 14,000 yuan reduction [2][3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Trends - The market for traditional fuel vehicles is experiencing a notable contraction, particularly in the mid-to-low-end segments, while high-end segments are declining at a slower pace [2]. - The upcoming expiration of tax exemptions for electric vehicles is expected to create a surge in the NEV market, although some low-range and high-energy-consuming models may face pressure to upgrade [3]. - The significant decline in A00-class electric vehicles in December has contributed to an increase in average prices, indicating structural changes in NEV consumption [3].