纯苯过剩格局难改 短期预计随油价波动

Core Viewpoint - The domestic pure benzene market is experiencing a mixed performance, with prices showing a slight upward trend despite high inventory levels and weak demand from downstream industries [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - On January 12, the main contract for pure benzene opened at 5485.0 CNY/ton, reaching a high of 5599.0 CNY and a low of 5463.0 CNY, with a price increase of 2.14% [1]. - The overall market for pure benzene is showing a strong performance, characterized by a fluctuating upward trend [1]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - South China Futures noted that the supply of pure benzene is affected by a mixed change in production of petroleum benzene and hydrogenated benzene, while downstream utilization rates for styrene, phenol, and aniline have increased [1]. - Newhu Futures indicated that the weak demand from downstream industries and continuous supply without reduction expectations have led to inventory levels reaching their highest in nearly five years, creating significant de-stocking pressure [2]. - According to Ruida Futures, the domestic pure benzene production is expected to see a slight increase due to the restart of several facilities, while downstream operating rates remain low [2]. Group 3: Inventory and External Factors - The inventory of pure benzene at East China ports continues to accumulate, with expectations of limited de-stocking pressure after the Spring Festival [1]. - External factors, such as rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and seasonal increases in heating demand in the Northern Hemisphere, are providing some support to international oil prices, which may influence pure benzene prices [2].