Group 1 - Morgan Stanley's preference order for the materials sector in 2026 is copper/gold > aluminum > lithium > coal > steel [1] - The MSCI China Materials Index is expected to outperform the MSCI China Index this year due to supply disruptions or tight supply and further M&A activities [1] - Zijin Mining (02899) remains Morgan Stanley's top pick for the year, with continued optimism for Luoyang Molybdenum (03993), China Aluminum (02600), and China Hongqiao (01378) [1] Group 2 - Jiangxi Copper (00358) has been upgraded to neutral based on a positive outlook for copper [1] - Chinese policies are still the main driver of commodity prices, but the execution and intensity of anti-involution policies are expected to be milder than anticipated starting from Q4 2025 [1] - Steel profit margins are expected to remain low without significant production cuts, leading to a downgrade of Baoshan Iron & Steel (600019.SH) to neutral and Ansteel (00347) to underweight [1]