特朗普施压古巴“达成协议”，墨西哥会否成古巴供油的关键？

Group 1 - The U.S. President Trump threatens Cuba with "zero oil, zero funds" if an unspecified agreement is not reached, indicating a potential escalation in U.S. pressure on Cuba [2][3][4] - Cuba's President Díaz-Canel asserts that Cuba will not be coerced and will defend its sovereignty, emphasizing the country's independence from U.S. influence [4][5][6] - Historically, Cuba has relied heavily on Venezuela for oil and financial support, with Venezuela being the largest supplier, providing approximately 26,500 barrels per day, covering about 50% of Cuba's oil needs [3][10] Group 2 - Mexico is positioned to become an important oil supplier to Cuba, although its current oil exports to Cuba are relatively low, accounting for only 3.3% of its total exports [7][8] - Recent data indicates that Mexico exported about 19,200 barrels of oil per day to Cuba, valued at approximately $400 million, but the actual economic viability of these exports remains uncertain [8][9] - The political instability in Venezuela has led to a decrease in oil shipments, with recent reports showing that Venezuela has not sent oil to Cuba since the U.S. intervention [3][10]