首席经济学家共议“十五五”开局，现代化产业体系如何筑基与突围

Core Viewpoint - The construction of a modern industrial system in China is a key topic amid rising external uncertainties and internal transformation pressures, focusing on efficiency, safety, and long-term competitiveness [1] Group 1: Industry Direction - The modern industrial system is composed of traditional industries, emerging industries, future industries, services, and infrastructure, rather than being solely focused on emerging sectors [2][3] - Traditional industries contribute approximately 80% of employment and value-added in China's manufacturing and related services, serving as the foundation for industrial chain competitiveness [2] - The energy sector is emphasized as a core component of the modern industrial system, particularly in the context of building a new energy power system [2] Group 2: Policy Guidance - The collaborative approach of fiscal, monetary, and industrial policies is undergoing significant changes, shifting from administrative-led support to more market-oriented methods [7] - National investment through industrial and guiding funds aims to leverage social capital and promote technological breakthroughs and industrial upgrades, focusing on long-term impacts rather than short-term returns [7] - Monetary policy is transitioning from broad easing to structural support, with the central bank utilizing capital market tools to support innovation sectors [7] Group 3: Future Industry Focus - The chemical industry is viewed positively for its global competitiveness and reasonable valuation, representing traditional industry upgrades [8] - Energy storage and hydrogen energy are identified as strategically important in the new power system and energy transition [8] - AI applications, particularly in humanoid robots and L3 autonomous driving, are entering an accelerated implementation phase, with continuous application scenarios being crucial for long-term industry growth [9]