Di Yi Cai Jing·2026-01-12 12:35Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a significant surge in the "space theme" sector, with substantial trading volumes and notable price increases in satellite and commercial aerospace stocks, raising questions about the sustainability of this growth [1][2][6]. Market Performance - On January 12, 2026, the A-share market saw a record trading volume exceeding 3.64 trillion yuan, surpassing the previous high of 3.47 trillion yuan [2]. - The satellite industry index rose by 10.28%, while the commercial aerospace index increased by 8.45% on the same day [2]. - Over the past month, the satellite industry index has surged by over 76%, with more than 10 stocks doubling in value [1][2]. ETF and Fund Inflows - Six satellite-themed ETFs attracted nearly 13 billion yuan in inflows over the past month, with the first ETF surpassing 10 billion yuan in assets [4]. - The total fund size of these ETFs has doubled from approximately 10.5 billion yuan at the end of December 2025 to over 22.1 billion yuan by January 9, 2026 [4]. Institutional Interest - There has been a marked increase in institutional interest, with 18 companies in the commercial aerospace or satellite sector receiving attention from over 100 institutions in the past month [5]. Industry Drivers - The strong performance of the commercial aerospace and satellite sectors is attributed to policy support and advancements in low-orbit satellite launches [6]. - China has submitted applications for frequency and orbital resources for an additional 203,000 satellites, indicating a significant expansion in satellite infrastructure [6]. Valuation Concerns - Despite the growth, there are concerns regarding high valuations in the sector, with some indices showing a static PE-TTM of 138 times [8]. - Analysts suggest that while current valuations may appear high, future earnings growth could justify these levels, with expected dynamic PEs dropping to around 60 and 50 times in 2026 and 2027, respectively [8]. Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to focus on companies with solid business fundamentals and technological capabilities, avoiding those that are merely riding the hype without substantial backing [9]. - The commercial aerospace sector is still in its early stages, presenting significant long-term growth potential, but investors should be prepared for volatility [8][9].