The Motley Fool·2026-01-12 19:26Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in lithium prices is expected to benefit major producers like Albemarle, while smaller producers like Sigma Lithium are also experiencing significant stock price increases due to optimistic market forecasts [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Lithium prices have more than doubled in the last three months, indicating a strong market rally [4]. - Scotiabank analyst Ben Isaacson predicts that lithium carbonate equivalent prices could reach $20,000 per metric ton by 2028, with spodumene concentrate prices at $2,150 per metric ton, driven by supply constraints [4]. - The current supply tightness suggests that even if electric vehicle sales slightly miss expectations, lithium prices will continue to rise significantly [6]. Group 2: Company Performance - Sigma Lithium's stock rose by 15.10% in a single trading session, reflecting investor optimism following positive forecasts for larger competitor Albemarle [1][2]. - Despite the stock price increase, Sigma Lithium has not yet turned a profit, raising questions about its long-term viability compared to established players like Albemarle [7]. - Albemarle's stock price target has been raised by multiple investment banks, indicating strong confidence in its market position and future growth potential [2][3].