Better Nuclear Energy Stock: Cameco vs. Centrus Energy

Industry Overview - The nuclear energy market is experiencing a resurgence due to new decarbonization initiatives and increased demand from sectors like cloud computing and AI, leading to the development of smaller, scalable reactors [2] - Geopolitical conflicts in uranium-rich regions have limited global uranium supply, contributing to rising uranium prices [2] Uranium Price Trends - Uranium's spot price has rebounded to $81.55 per pound by the end of 2025, with projections of reaching $100 in 2026 and $140 in 2027 [3] - The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) forecasts a potential increase in global nuclear capacity by up to 2.5 times between 2024 and 2050 [3] Company Profiles: Cameco - Cameco is the second-largest uranium miner globally, responsible for 17% of the world's uranium production in 2024, and has diversified its operations by acquiring a 49% stake in Global Laser Enrichment [4][5] - In 2023, Cameco partnered with Brookfield Asset Management to acquire a 49% stake in Westinghouse Electric, enhancing its position in the nuclear energy sector [6] - Analysts project Cameco's revenue and earnings per share (EPS) to grow at a CAGR of 9% and 89% respectively from 2024 to 2027, despite its stock trading at 67 times this year's earnings [13] Company Profiles: Centrus Energy - Centrus is one of the few U.S. companies licensed to sell low-enriched uranium (LEU) and is the only publicly listed company producing high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU) [8] - After restructuring post-bankruptcy, Centrus has focused on importing LEU and enriching HALEU, with significant growth potential as advanced nuclear reactors are developed [10] - Analysts expect Centrus' revenue and EPS to grow at a CAGR of 7% and 2% respectively from 2024 to 2027, with its stock priced at 77 times this year's earnings [14] Comparative Analysis - Cameco is positioned as a more balanced investment in the nuclear market due to its leading market position, diversification, and lower forward price-to-earnings ratio compared to Centrus [15] - While Centrus has potential for growth, it is heavily reliant on government contracts and the development of next-generation reactors, making Cameco a more favorable long-term investment [16]