金银，开盘直线跳水

Group 1: Precious Metals Market - The precious metals market experienced significant volatility, with gold prices dropping below $4580 per ounce and silver prices falling below $84 per ounce on January 13 [1][2][14] - On January 12, both gold and silver prices reached historical highs, with gold peaking at $4630.24 per ounce and silver rising over 6% to $86.237 per ounce [5][17] - Analysts suggest that the recent price movements in precious metals are influenced by increased criticism of the Federal Reserve by the Trump administration, leading to reduced investment in U.S. assets [5][17] Group 2: U.S. Stock Market Performance - The U.S. stock market saw all three major indices close higher on January 12, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 reaching new highs [6][19] - The Dow Jones rose by 86.13 points (0.17%) to close at 49,590.20 points, while the Nasdaq increased by 62.56 points (0.26%) to 23,733.90 points, and the S&P 500 gained 10.99 points (0.16%) to finish at 6,977.27 points [7][19] - Notable gains were observed in popular Chinese stocks, with the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rising by 4.26%, and Alibaba's stock increasing by over 10%, marking its largest single-day gain since August 29, 2025 [1][21] Group 3: Federal Reserve and Economic Outlook - Market expectations are leaning towards the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January, with a 95% probability of no change and only a 5% chance of a 25 basis point cut [21] - The potential for a 25 basis point cut by March is estimated at 26%, while the probability of maintaining rates is 72.8% [21] - Trump is set to interview Rick Riedel for the position of Federal Reserve Chair, indicating ongoing political influence over monetary policy [22]