西红柿价格为何走高

Core Viewpoint - The price of tomatoes has significantly increased, driven by multiple factors including reduced planting area, adverse weather conditions, and seasonal cost increases, leading to a tight supply situation in the market [5][6][9]. Price Trends - As of January 8, 2026, local prices for tomatoes in Shandong's Yanggu County reached 5 to 6.5 yuan per jin, nearly double compared to the previous year [2]. - The average wholesale price of tomatoes in December 2025 was 8.59 yuan per kilogram, marking a 23.4% increase month-on-month and a 76.4% increase year-on-year [4]. - The highest price recorded was 9.36 yuan per kilogram on December 26, 2025, with a slight decrease to 8.4 yuan by January 4, 2026 [4]. Supply Factors - The planting area for tomatoes has decreased due to low prices in previous years, which discouraged farmers from planting [5]. - Adverse weather conditions, including excessive rainfall and temperature drops, have severely impacted tomato yields and delayed market entry [6][7]. - The transition to winter production has increased costs due to reliance on high-cost greenhouse production and long-distance transportation [7]. Future Price Outlook - Experts predict that tomato prices may remain high in the short term, especially with the upcoming Spring Festival driving demand [8][9]. - The recovery of damaged production capacity will take time, and supply is expected to remain tight until new crops are harvested [9]. - A potential easing of supply constraints may occur with the upcoming harvests from regions like Hebei, which could help stabilize prices [9].