全国邮政会议召开，地缘再显油运价值

Group 1: Industry Dynamics - The national postal conference held on January 7, 2026, forecasts an 8% year-on-year growth in express delivery volume, reaching 2.14 billion packages in 2026 [1][2] - The conference emphasizes a shift from traditional growth models focused on scale and speed to quality improvement and reasonable growth, urging companies to abandon the "price for volume" model to curb irrational competition [1][2] - The government is expected to play a more active role in industry governance, enhancing regulatory effectiveness and establishing a comprehensive policy framework [2] Group 2: Company Performance - Jitu Express reported a 14.5% year-on-year increase in package volume for Q4 2025, totaling 8.46 billion packages, with Southeast Asia and new markets seeing growth rates exceeding 70% [3] - The company plans to continue investing in infrastructure and optimizing its network partnerships to enhance operational efficiency [3] Group 3: Regulatory Developments - The Jiangxi Provincial Postal Administration held a meeting to address "anti-involution" in the express delivery industry, focusing on protecting couriers' rights and standardizing delivery fee structures [4] - The meeting called for a unified delivery fee standard across the province and emphasized the need for emergency response mechanisms for issues like wage arrears [4] Group 4: Aviation Industry Insights - The civil aviation industry reported a total profit of 6.5 billion yuan in 2025, with significant increases in transportation metrics, including a 10.5% rise in total turnover and a 13.3% increase in cargo volume [7] - The International Air Transport Association (IATA) noted a 5.7% year-on-year growth in global passenger demand for November 2025, with a record load factor of 83.7% [8] Group 5: Shipping and Port Activity - Recent unrest in Iran could impact oil exports and shipping rates, with potential scenarios including increased oil prices and shipping costs due to geopolitical tensions [9] - South Korean shipowners are actively acquiring older VLCCs, indicating a positive outlook for the VLCC market [10] - Container throughput in Chinese ports decreased by 0.65% week-on-week, while container volume increased by 6.27% [12] Group 6: Logistics and Supply Chain - The logistics sector in China is operating smoothly, with national rail freight down 8.54% and highway freight traffic down 14.87% during the last week of December 2025 [13] - The supply chain logistics sector is expected to benefit from a shift towards quality and efficiency, with companies like Debon Logistics and Aneng Logistics showing promising growth potential [17]