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Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in gold prices is primarily driven by concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve following a criminal investigation into Chairman Jerome Powell, leading investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold [2] Group 1: Market Reaction - Gold prices experienced a temporary spike, briefly surpassing $4600 before slightly retreating, influenced by the market's reaction to the investigation news [2] - The dollar saw significant selling pressure as investors shifted towards gold, contributing to the upward movement in gold prices [2] Group 2: Economic Indicators - Upcoming macroeconomic data, particularly CPI and retail sales, are expected to influence market sentiment; a CPI exceeding expectations could reignite dollar strength, while a modest core CPI increase may not alter the current trend [2] - The mixed employment report from the previous week had initially supported the dollar but subsequently led to a reversal in market sentiment [2] Group 3: Technical Analysis - The current upward trend in gold remains strong, characterized by higher highs and higher lows, making bearish positions illogical without clear reversal signals [3] - Momentum indicators suggest the market is overbought, but this alone is not a sufficient reason to sell [3] Group 4: Support and Resistance Levels - Key support for gold is identified between $4500 and $4550, a psychologically significant range due to its historical high in December [4] - If this support level is breached, the next potential support is around $4380, followed by a trendline support near $4350 [4] - The absence of clear resistance points suggests that the next targets for gold prices could be $4600 and $4700, with Fibonacci extension levels at $4625, $4687, and $4720 being critical for profit-taking strategies [4]