气温预计回升至正常水平，欧美气价回落

Core Viewpoint - The report indicates a recovery in temperatures to normal levels, leading to a decline in gas prices in Europe and the US, with significant week-on-week changes in various gas price indices as of January 9, 2026 [1][2]. Price Tracking - Gas prices have decreased significantly, with US HH prices down by 27.5%, European TTF down by 5.7%, East Asia JKM down by 1.4%, and China's LNG ex-factory and import prices down by 1.4% and 4.8%, respectively, reaching 0.7, 2.4, 2.4, 2.6, and 2.3 yuan per cubic meter [1][2]. Supply and Demand Analysis - The US natural gas market saw a week-on-week price drop of 27.5% due to rising temperatures, with storage levels decreasing by 119 billion cubic feet to 32,560 billion cubic feet, a year-on-year decline of 3.5% [3]. - European gas prices fell by 5.7% as temperatures are expected to rise, with gas consumption in Europe for January to September 2025 at 3,138 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 4.1% [3]. - European gas supply increased by 5% to 112,234 GWh, with significant contributions from inventory consumption and LNG receiving stations [3]. - Domestic gas prices in China decreased by 1.4%, with apparent consumption for January to November 2025 at 3,920 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 1.5% [3]. Pricing Progress - From 2022 to 2025, 67% of cities in China implemented residential pricing adjustments, with an average increase of 0.22 yuan per cubic meter [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a favorable supply environment and cost optimization for city gas companies, with ongoing price mechanism adjustments and increasing demand [5]. - Key recommendations include companies like Xinao Energy, China Resources Gas, and Kunlun Energy, which are expected to benefit from these trends [5]. - Attention is drawn to companies with US gas sources and those involved in provincial pipeline businesses, highlighting potential risks and opportunities in the current market [5].