智通财经网·2026-01-13 02:53Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that global lithium battery demand is expected to grow at a rate of 26% year-on-year by 2026, driven by both power storage and electric vehicle sectors [1][4] - In the electric vehicle sector, the registration of global electric vehicles reached 17.1 million units from January to October 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 25.5%, primarily due to the resumption of subsidies in Europe and vehicle replacement policies in China [1][4] - The global energy storage battery shipments reached 428 GWh from January to September 2025, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 90.7%, supported by the scaling of independent storage projects in China and market demand in the U.S. [1][4] Group 2 - The lithium battery materials supply side is undergoing optimization due to previous overcapacity leading to low-price competition, resulting in many companies facing continuous losses and high debt levels [2][3] - Companies are focusing on improving existing production efficiency and cost optimization rather than blind expansion, leading to a significant weakening of expansion capabilities and intentions among lithium battery material companies [2][3] - The tightening of environmental policies and energy consumption controls is raising industry entry barriers, causing smaller companies to exit the market, thus enhancing the rigidity of supply constraints [2][3] Group 3 - Technological upgrades are driving supply-side optimization, with advancements in high-pressure lithium iron phosphate and high-strength separators, which require higher production precision and R&D investment [3][4] - Leading companies are leveraging continuous R&D investment to scale up high-end product capacity, while smaller firms struggle to upgrade their products and processes, leading to market elimination [3][4] - The supply structure is evolving towards a "few but excellent" model, with resources concentrating on leading enterprises, which is expected to restore market share and profitability for these companies [3][4] Group 4 - The report indicates a strong certainty of profit recovery in lithium battery materials, driven by supply-side constraints, high demand growth, and industry restructuring [4] - The consensus among companies to scientifically release capacity has led to a continued limitation of supply over the next 1-2 years, while demand is experiencing rapid growth from both power storage and electric vehicle sectors [4] - Core material prices, such as lithium hexafluorophosphate, have started to rebound, and the overall capacity utilization rate in the industry is expected to continue its upward trend in 2026 [4] Group 5 - Investment recommendations suggest prioritizing attention on lithium hexafluorophosphate and lithium iron phosphate sectors, with specific companies like Tianqi Materials and Hunan Youneng being highlighted [5] - Other companies to watch include Duofu Technology, Fulian Precision, Longpan Technology, Defang Nano, Tianji Co., Shida Shenghua, and Wanrun New Energy, particularly in the context of price recovery [5] - For long-cycle, heavy-asset sectors like copper foil and separators, companies such as Enjie, Xingyuan Materials, Fusheng Technology, Defu Technology, Jiayuan Technology, and Nord are recommended for attention [5]