AI赛道放量分歧,风险还是机会?高盛:AI仍是市场的确定性主线之一!创业板人工智能ETF获资金抢筹

Core Viewpoint - The AI sector is experiencing a divergence in performance, with applications remaining active while the computing power segment faces adjustments. The market is transitioning into a new phase where AI applications are becoming the primary focus for investment opportunities [1][2][5]. AI Applications - AI downstream applications are accelerating into the commercialization verification stage, with significant developments in both domestic and international markets. Companies like xAI and Anthropic have completed financing, and policies promoting "AI + manufacturing" are being implemented in China. The upcoming release of DeepSeek-V4 is expected to spark a new wave of AI application enthusiasm [2][9]. - The AI application index has seen a cumulative increase of over 12% since the beginning of the year, significantly outperforming the communication equipment index, indicating a strong market sentiment towards AI applications [10]. Computing Power - Major domestic companies, including ByteDance, are significantly increasing their capital expenditure plans, leading to marginal improvements in chip supply. This, combined with the continuous iteration of domestic large models, is driving a resurgence in data center bidding activities. The IDC sector is currently positioned at a valuation low, presenting an investment window for recovery and performance realization [10]. - The current price of the AI application ETF (159363) closed at 1.127 yuan, approaching the pre-rights issue closing price of 1.191 yuan, suggesting a potential "fill rights" market trend reflecting high industry sentiment [10]. Investment Products - The AI application ETF (159363) is structured to benefit directly from the commercial explosion of AI technology, with approximately 60% of its portfolio allocated to computing power and 40% to AI applications. This ETF represents a core investment in both computing power and AI applications [5][12]. - The ETF has seen significant trading activity, with a real-time transaction volume exceeding 800 million yuan and a net subscription of 130 million units, indicating strong investor interest [1][2]. Market Outlook - Goldman Sachs' research indicates that AI will remain a key investment theme in the market through 2026, reinforcing the importance of AI applications in future investment strategies [4][9].