西红柿价格大幅上涨 为何涨价？目前产地供应如何？

Core Viewpoint - The price of tomatoes has significantly increased, driven by multiple factors including reduced planting area, adverse weather conditions, and seasonal cost increases, leading to a tight supply situation in the market [4][5][6]. Price Trends - As of January 8, 2026, local prices for tomatoes in Shandong's Yanggu County reached 5 to 6.5 yuan per jin, nearly double compared to the previous year [2]. - The average wholesale price of tomatoes in December 2025 was 8.59 yuan per kilogram, marking a 23.4% increase month-over-month and a 76.4% increase year-over-year [3]. - The highest recorded price was 9.36 yuan per kilogram on December 26, 2025, with a slight decrease to 8.4 yuan per kilogram by January 4, 2026 [3]. Supply Factors - The decline in tomato planting area due to previous low prices has led to a reduction in supply, with farmers opting to plant other crops [4]. - Adverse weather conditions, including excessive rainfall and temperature drops, have severely impacted the growth and yield of tomatoes, delaying their market availability [5][6]. - The transition to winter production has increased costs due to reliance on high-cost greenhouse production and long-distance transportation [6]. Future Price Outlook - Experts predict that tomato prices will likely remain high in the short term, especially with the upcoming Spring Festival driving demand [7]. - The recovery of damaged production capacity will take time, and the market supply is expected to remain tight [7]. - A potential easing of supply constraints may occur with the upcoming harvests from regions like Hebei, which could help stabilize prices [7]. Supply Management Efforts - Agricultural departments in Shandong are providing technical support to farmers for water and fertilizer management, as well as pest control [8]. - Farmers are also establishing direct supply channels with supermarkets to reduce intermediaries and alleviate supply pressure [8].