野村证券陆挺预测2026黄金走势：跌不太可能，涨幅会小于前两年

Core Viewpoint - The consensus among investors is that gold prices are unlikely to drop this year, with expectations of continued growth, albeit at a slower rate compared to the previous two years [1][3]. Group 1: Gold Price Trends - Gold prices have seen significant increases in recent years, with a 50% rise last year and a 30% rise the year before [1][3]. - The market has undergone a one-time pricing adjustment for gold, but there remains some room for further adjustments [1][3]. Group 2: Investment Considerations - Investors are advised to track gold prices and select an appropriate benchmark, which varies between domestic and international markets due to differing interest rates [4]. - To invest in gold internationally, investors must outperform U.S. Treasury yields, which are currently around 4.2% for 10-year bonds and 4.8% for 30-year bonds. If gold price increases do not exceed 4% annually, the investment may not be successful [4].