Cai Jing Wang·2026-01-13 09:08Core Viewpoint - The EU-China Electric Vehicle anti-subsidy negotiations have made significant progress, emphasizing that the competitiveness of China's electric vehicle industry stems from continuous technological innovation and market competition, rather than subsidies [1][2]. Group 1: Negotiation Progress - The EU and China have engaged in multiple rounds of negotiations to address the EU's concerns regarding electric vehicles, aiming for a "soft landing" in the anti-subsidy case [1]. - The EU has issued guidance for Chinese exporters on submitting price commitment applications, which will allow them to address concerns in a WTO-compliant manner [1][3]. - The EU-China Chamber of Commerce welcomed the dialogue-driven approach to resolving the electric vehicle case, highlighting its importance for bilateral trade and investment cooperation [1]. Group 2: Price Commitment Framework - The EU has confirmed that it will evaluate price commitment applications based on objective and non-discriminatory principles, adhering to WTO rules [5]. - Two methods for determining minimum prices have been outlined: one based on the CIF price during the investigation period plus the applicable anti-subsidy tax rate, and the other based on the sales price of similar electric vehicles produced within the EU [5]. - Exporters may also make annual export quantity commitments to mitigate cross-subsidy risks, which will further strengthen the response to subsidy damages [5]. Group 3: Impact of Anti-Subsidy Tax - Despite the anti-subsidy tax, the market share of Chinese electric vehicles in the EU has increased from 7% in 2024 to 7.6% in the first eight months of 2025 [8]. - Several Chinese automakers are establishing local production in Europe to avoid tariffs, which will be a significant factor in price commitment negotiations [9]. Group 4: Investment Commitments - Investment commitments in local manufacturing will be positively considered in the evaluation of price commitment proposals, reflecting a broader industrial policy issue rather than just a trade dispute [9]. - Chinese electric vehicle companies have announced various investment and production plans in the EU following the introduction of the anti-subsidy tax, including BYD's establishment of a European headquarters and R&D center in Budapest [9].