Investment Strategy - The report emphasizes focusing on FAB and storage manufacturers that are expanding production and the recovery cycle of analog chips [3] - Longxin plans to raise 29.5 billion yuan, while SMIC Southern will receive a total cash contribution of 7.778 billion USD from shareholders [3] - Recommended companies include SMIC, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Zhongwei Company, and others [3] Market Trends - Microchip CEO noted a broad recovery in multiple end markets, with initial orders for the new quarter significantly better than the same period last year [3] - The storage demand is driven by AI, with prices still in an upward cycle; TrendForce predicts a 55-60% increase in general DRAM contract prices for Q1 2026 [3][30] Company Performance - The semiconductor index rose by 4.47% in December 2025, underperforming the electronics sector by 0.69 percentage points but outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.19 percentage points [8] - Notable stock performances included Micron Technology (+20.74%) and Microchip Technology (+18.92%) [10] Semiconductor Sales Data - Global semiconductor sales reached 75.28 billion USD in November 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 29.8% [26] - China’s semiconductor sales accounted for 26.9% of the global total, with a year-on-year growth of 15% [36] Price Trends in Storage - DRAM and NAND Flash contract prices increased in November, with DRAM prices rising from 7.00 USD to 8.10 USD and NAND Flash prices from 5.19 USD to 4.35 USD [30] - Predictions indicate a 55-60% increase in general DRAM contract prices and a 33-38% increase in NAND Flash prices for Q1 2026 [30][32]
【国信电子胡剑团队】半导体1月投资策略:关注FAB和存储大厂扩产链及周期复苏的模拟芯片