ATFX:美原油连涨三日 今日试探60美元关口

Core Viewpoint - The recent performance of WTI crude oil shows a rare consecutive increase, with prices approaching the critical $60 mark, influenced by market caution regarding the EU's price cap on Russian oil [1][5]. Price Movement - On January 8, WTI opened at $56.25 and peaked at $58.59; on January 9, it reached $59.58, nearing $60; on January 10, it tested the $60 level, hitting a high of $59.71 [1][5]. - As of the latest session, WTI reached a high of $59.77, just $0.23 away from the $60 threshold, indicating potential for a breakout [1][5]. Market Sentiment - Market participants are cautious about the $60 level due to the EU's price cap on Russian oil, which has been in effect since late 2022, creating a psychological barrier despite not directly impacting WTI prices [1][5]. - The price cap has not significantly stimulated the market, as Russian Urals oil prices remain below $40 [1][5]. Inventory Levels - As of January 2, the EIA reported U.S. crude oil inventories at 419.056 million barrels, a relative low since 2015, which was a period of significant shale oil production growth [3][7]. - The historical inventory levels have fluctuated between approximately 400 million and 533 million barrels over the past decade, indicating a potential for future inventory increases [3][10]. Price Trends - The recent three-day increase in WTI has boosted short-term buying sentiment, with January 9's long bullish candle breaking a downward trend line [9][12]. - If the closing price remains above the downward trend line, it may confirm an upward breakout, suggesting a potential short-term strengthening in prices [9][12].