Nan Fang Du Shi Bao·2026-01-13 09:44Core Viewpoint - The commercial aerospace sector, which has been experiencing rapid growth since December 2025, has seen a sudden halt in its upward momentum following multiple risk warning announcements from several listed companies [2][3]. Group 1: Market Reaction - On January 12, several companies including Aerospace HuanYu, Leike Defense, Aerospace Electronics, and China Satellite issued risk warning announcements, leading to a sharp decline in stock prices on January 13, with Aerospace HuanYu dropping over 18% and several stocks hitting the daily limit down [2]. - The rapid cooling of the sector was triggered by these announcements, which included specific business data to clarify market expectations that were deemed excessively high [2]. Group 2: Company Disclosures - China Satellite reported a rolling price-to-earnings ratio of 2400.54, significantly higher than industry peers [2]. - Xinke Mobile indicated that its revenue from the satellite internet sector only accounts for 2%-3% of its total revenue [2]. - Ligong Navigation revealed that its commercial aerospace application planning is still in the early stages, with related business revenue of only 154,400 yuan in the first three quarters of 2025 [2]. - Aerospace Engineering stated that it does not engage in commercial aerospace or related businesses [2]. Group 3: Industry Context - Prior to the recent downturn, the commercial aerospace sector had been thriving, with many stocks doubling in value due to strong policy expectations and the establishment of a dedicated "Commercial Aerospace Department" by the National Space Administration [3]. - The application for over 200,000 satellite frequency resources by China in December 2025 has been viewed as a significant strategic move, enhancing market perceptions of the industry's potential scale [3]. Group 4: Analyst Warnings - Some institutions have issued warnings regarding the overheated market, noting that while the development of China's commercial aerospace is accelerating, it remains in its early stages [4]. - Analysts from Huafu Securities and CITIC Securities highlighted that the domestic reusable rocket technology still requires time for validation and scaling, with current launch frequencies and scales below international levels [4]. - Tianfeng Securities pointed out that the sector is transitioning from policy incubation to large-scale implementation, facing challenges such as low satellite data utilization and high barriers to entry for the consumer market [4].