黄金冲高回落 今夜CPI数据成多空最终裁决

Core Insights - Gold prices surged past $4,600 per ounce, marking a historic high driven by geopolitical uncertainties and Federal Reserve policy fluctuations [1] - The surge in gold prices reflects heightened investor demand for safe-haven assets amid concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve and ongoing geopolitical tensions [1] Geopolitical Factors - Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif stated that Iran is prepared for any potential military actions from the U.S., indicating a readiness for a strong response [2] - Hungary's Foreign Minister warned that military involvement by the UK and France in Ukraine could lead to direct conflict between NATO and Russia, potentially dragging Hungary into war [2] - Greenland's autonomous government rejected U.S. takeover, emphasizing its status as part of Denmark and NATO, and warned that military actions could lead to NATO's dissolution [2] Market Reactions - Silver prices also saw a significant increase, reaching a historic high of $86.24 per ounce, closing at $85.15, with a rise of 6.5% [2] - The small market capacity of silver makes it more sensitive to capital inflows, resulting in more pronounced price movements compared to gold [2] Technical Analysis of Gold - Recent price movements indicate a potential "false breakout" above the $4,600 level, driven more by fundamental news than technical indicators [3] - The market is currently experiencing a high volatility phase, with potential for price corrections if supportive news does not materialize [3] - Key support levels to watch include $4,560 and $4,520, while resistance remains at the $4,600 mark [3] Upcoming Economic Data - Key economic indicators to be released include the NFIB Small Business Confidence Index and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December, which may influence market sentiment [4][5]