压制股价因素消除，山东赫达能否走补涨行情？

Core Viewpoint - After a significant stock price increase of 14 times, Shandong Heda's stock has dropped by 80%, indicating a period of consolidation with potential for future growth due to recent favorable developments regarding U.S. anti-dumping tariffs [1][9]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Reaction - Shandong Heda's stock has been in a wide fluctuation state since the "924" market rally in 2024, with previous highs repeatedly suppressing the stock price [10]. - The stock experienced a surge with two consecutive days of trading limits due to the U.S. anti-dumping tax rate being significantly lower than expected, dropping from an initial 172.24% to 18.71%, a reduction of 153.53% [11][12]. Group 2: Business Operations and Revenue Composition - The company's main products include cellulose ether, which accounted for 72.98% of revenue, and plant-based hollow capsules, which made up 21.10% of revenue in the first half of 2025 [12]. - Export ratios for 2024 show that construction-grade cellulose ether accounted for 56.4%, pharmaceutical-grade cellulose ether for 57.3%, and plant capsules for 88.2% [12]. Group 3: Future Projects and Market Position - Shandong Heda plans to invest up to 500 million yuan in a new plant in the U.S. with a capacity of 20 billion capsules per year, with 31.92% of the project completed by mid-2025 [12]. - The company is well-positioned in the market, with a strong outlook for its plant capsule business as it expands its production capacity [12][13]. Group 4: Shareholder Composition - The latest quarterly report for 2025 shows that two funds from a private equity firm have entered the top ten shareholders, indicating increased institutional interest [4][13]. - Additionally, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited increased its holdings by 26.68% in the third quarter of the previous year [5][14]. Group 5: Industry Trends and Applications - Shandong Heda is involved in new materials and plant-based meat concepts, with pharmaceutical-grade cellulose ether having broad applications in drug formulations and plant capsules [15][16]. - The company is also a leading producer of HEC, which is used in various applications, including improving the quality of copper plating for batteries [17].