Nan Fang Du Shi Bao·2026-01-13 12:03Core Viewpoint - The commercial aerospace sector, which had been experiencing rapid growth since December 2025, faced a sudden halt in its upward momentum following multiple risk warning announcements from several listed companies on January 12, 2026 [1][2]. Group 1: Market Reaction - On January 12, several companies including Aerospace HuanYu, LeiKe Defense, Aerospace Electronics, and China Satellite issued risk warnings, leading to a sharp decline in stock prices on January 13, with Aerospace HuanYu dropping over 18% and several stocks hitting the daily limit down [1][4]. - The rapid cooling of the sector was triggered by the announcements that included specific business data, clarifying the market's overly optimistic expectations regarding their commercial aerospace operations [1][4]. Group 2: Business Performance Insights - China Satellite reported a rolling P/E ratio of 2400.54, significantly higher than industry peers, indicating potential overvaluation [1]. - XinKe Mobile disclosed that its revenue from the satellite internet sector only accounted for 2%-3% of total income, while LiGong Navigation revealed that its commercial aerospace applications were still in the early planning stages, with revenue of only 154.4 thousand yuan in the first three quarters of 2025 [1]. - Aerospace Engineering stated that it does not engage in commercial aerospace or related businesses, further highlighting the sector's nascent stage [1]. Group 3: Industry Context and Future Outlook - The commercial aerospace sector had been thriving due to favorable policy expectations, including the "14th Five-Year Plan" which emphasized the acceleration of building a strong aerospace nation and the establishment of a dedicated "Commercial Aerospace Department" by the National Space Administration [2]. - The application for over 200,000 satellite frequency resources by China in December 2025 is seen as a strategic move, significantly enhancing market expectations for industry scale [2]. - Despite the long-term strategic value, some institutions have issued warnings about the overheated short-term market conditions, indicating that the sector is still in its early stages of development [3][4].