Di Yi Cai Jing·2026-01-13 12:19Core Viewpoint - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing a significant sell-off, with over ten stocks dropping more than 10% and multiple satellite ETFs nearing trading halts, indicating a market correction after a two-month speculative rally [2][8]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Shareholder Actions - Aerospace Development (000547.SZ) and Xinwei Communication (300136.SZ) disclosed shareholder reduction plans, with both stocks having doubled since December 2025, leading to perceptions of "precise" high-point cashing out by controlling shareholders [2][6]. - Xinwei Communication's actual controller, Peng Hao, plans to reduce his holdings by up to 963.76 million shares, representing 1% of the total share capital, citing "personal funding needs" [3]. - Following the announcement, Xinwei Communication's stock fell over 15% intraday on January 13, closing down 10.84% at 74.1 yuan, resulting in a potential cash-out of approximately 714 million yuan for Peng Hao [3][5]. Group 2: Financial Metrics and Business Performance - Xinwei Communication's main business includes antenna modules and wireless charging products, with a significant portion of its revenue still derived from consumer electronics rather than satellite communications [3][6]. - The company reported a revenue of 6.462 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 1.07%, but its net profit decreased by 8.77% to 486 million yuan [6][7]. - Aerospace Development's revenue from its satellite operations is less than 1% of total revenue, indicating minimal impact on overall performance despite a stock price increase of over 367% in two months [7][8]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The reduction plans from controlling shareholders during a period of rapid stock price increases are viewed as a risk signal, suggesting a shift in internal sentiment from optimism to caution [6][8]. - The commercial aerospace sector's speculative trading has diverged significantly from fundamental business performance, with many companies issuing risk warnings about their limited exposure to the aerospace market [6][7]. - Analysts suggest that the speculative phase of the commercial aerospace concept is nearing its end, urging investors to focus on companies with genuine competitive advantages and sustainable profitability rather than chasing popular trends [8].