CPI公布前 美联储明年1月维持利率不变的概率为95%
Jin Rong Jie·2026-01-13 13:28

Group 1 - The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 5.0%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 95.0% [1] - By March next year, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut rises to 24.3%, with a 74.6% chance of keeping rates unchanged, and a 1.1% chance of a cumulative 50 basis point cut [1]